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Welcome to Gracenote’s data hub for the FIFA World Cup 2022™. Check out our predictions and standings for the competing teams.

2022 predictions
World rankings
Insights

2022 Predictions

Forecasts for who will advance and win World Cup Qatar

Gracenote’s 2022 World Cup predictions bracket

See our forecast for who will win

Round of 16
Quarter Final
Semi Final
Final
Semi Final
Quarter Final
Round of 16
65%
65%
Netherlands
35%
35%
USA
76%
76%
Argentina
24%
24%
Australia
42%
42%
Japan
58%
58%
Croatia
77%
77%
Brazil
23%
23%
Korea Republic
42%
42%
Netherlands
58%
58%
Argentina
30%
30%
Croatia
70%
70%
Brazil
66%
66%
Argentina
34%
34%
Croatia
60%
60%
Argentina
40%
40%
France
57%
57%
France
43%
43%
Morocco
49%
49%
England
51%
51%
France
41%
41%
Morocco
59%
59%
Portugal
68%
68%
England
32%
32%
Senegal
65%
65%
France
35%
35%
Poland
40%
40%
Morocco
60%
60%
Spain
57%
57%
Portugal
43%
43%
Switzerland

Predictions are based on over one million simulations that produce estimates showing the most likely team to fill each position in the knockout stages. During the 2022 World Cup, the simulation will be run after each day’s results to produce a new forecast which takes account of the latest information. The new forecast will be uploaded daily to this hub.

World Cup 2022 round predictions powered by Gracenote

See which teams are most likely to advance.

2022 World Rankings

The top influencers and current standings of the men’s national teams

Men’s World Ranking powered by Gracenote

See the men’s national team standings.

Last Update: June 21, 2023

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The Gracenote World Football Ranking is a proprietary methodology created in 2002 and based on the Elo system used for ranking chess players. Every time two teams compete, one wins points from the other depending on the result, the winning margin, who is at home and the relative strength of the two teams playing, and the importance of the competition.

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